高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)的一项研究显示，朝鲜和韩国一旦统一，其经济规模到本世纪中叶可能超过法国、德国，很可能还会超过日本。这项研究动摇了人们对统一的传统看法。
A united South and North Korea could boast an economy larger than France, Germany and possibly Japan by the middle of the century, according to a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) study that make shake up conventional wisdom about unification.
自东德和西德20年前重新统一以来，韩国领导人和经济学家已经让许多韩国人相信，与朝鲜统一会付出很高的代价并造成破坏性的后果。韩国政府的一家智库上个月做出了最新的暗淡预测，认为税负率(税收收入占国内生产总值(GDP)的比例)将需要上升两个百分点，并保持60年，才能负担重新统一的代价。
Since the reunification of West and East Germany 20 years ago, South Korean leaders and economists have convinced many people here that reuniting with North Korea will be costly and disruptive. In the latest gloomy forecast, a government think tank last month said that the tax burden ratio, or proportion of tax revenue to GDP, would need to rise by two percentage points and stay that way for 60 years to pay for reunification.
高盛经济学家Kwon Goo-hoon在周一公布的研究报告中说，韩朝统一的风险需要重新评估，尤其是在越南和蒙古等国家实现快速经济发展之后，这些国家也跟朝鲜一样是国有经济。
In the study released Monday, Goldman Sachs economist Kwon Goo-hoon says the risks of reunification need to be re-evaluated, particularly in the wake of the rapid development of countries like Vietnam and Mongolia that also had state-run economies like North Korea's.
他的研究包括朝鲜发布的数据，他承认这些数据可能不准确，对于未来行动的假定也可能有误。虽然如此，但这份研究的基调还是比此前的一些研究更乐观，以前的研究助长了韩国对于重新统一的矛盾心理。
